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๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด ์ œ์กฐ ๊ณต์ • ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜ ๋ถˆ๋Ÿ‰๋ฅ  ์˜ˆ์ธก ๋ฐ ์›์ธ ๋ถ„์„

2025/04/20 โ†’ 2025/06/10

์‚ฐ์—…/๋ถ„์•ผ
์ œ์กฐ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด๊ณต์ •
์ง๋ฌด/๊ธฐ์ˆ 
Python์˜ˆ์ธกํšŒ๊ท€
๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด ์ œ์กฐ ๊ณต์ • ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜ ๋ถˆ๋Ÿ‰๋ฅ  ์˜ˆ์ธก ๋ฐ ์›์ธ ๋ถ„์„ ์ปค๋ฒ„ ์ด๋ฏธ์ง€

Step1. ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ˆ˜์ง‘

์‚ผ์„ฑSDS Brightics AI ํฌํ„ธ์—์„œ ์ œ๊ณตํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์‚ฌ์šฉ

์ˆ˜์ง‘ ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„: 2008.07.19 ~ 2008.10.17, 1567๊ฐœ์˜ ์ƒ˜ํ”Œ, 592๊ฐœ์˜ ๋ณ€์ˆ˜

๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด ๊ณต์ • ๋‚ด ์„ผ์„œ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ 590๊ฐœ(Sensor0~Sensor589), ํ’ˆ์งˆ ํŒ์ •๊ฐ’(Pass_Fail: -1 ํ•ฉ๊ฒฉ/1 ๋ถˆ๋Ÿ‰), ์ธก์ • ์‹œ๊ฐ ์ •๋ณด(SensorTime)

SensorTime, Sensor0~Sensor589, Pass_Fail ์ปฌ๋Ÿผ์„ ํฌํ•จํ•œ ์›์‹œ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ƒ˜ํ”Œ
์›์‹œ ์„ผ์„œ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ƒ˜ํ”Œ

Step2. EDA ๋ฐ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ „์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ

Skewness(์™œ๋„) ๋ถ„์„, ๋ถˆ๋Ÿ‰ ๋ถ„ํฌ ํ™•์ธ (์–‘ํ’ˆ 93.36%/1463๊ฑด, ๋ถˆ๋Ÿ‰ 6.64%/104๊ฑด)

๊ฒฐ์ธก์น˜ ํ™•์ธ (์ƒ์œ„ 15๊ฐœ ์„ผ์„œ), ์ด์ƒ์น˜ ํ™•์ธ, ์ƒ๊ด€๊ด€๊ณ„ ๋ถ„์„

๊ฒฐ์ธก์น˜ ๋น„์œจ์ด ๋†’์€ ์ƒ์œ„ 15๊ฐœ ์„ผ์„œ ๋ง‰๋Œ€๊ทธ๋ž˜ํ”„
๊ฒฐ์ธก์น˜ ๋น„์œจ ์ƒ์œ„ 15๊ฐœ ์„ผ์„œ
Sensor31, Sensor40 ์ด์ƒ์น˜ ๋ถ„ํฌ ๋ฐ•์Šคํ”Œ๋กฏ
์ด์ƒ์น˜ ๋น„์œจ์ด ๋†’์€ ์„ผ์„œ ์‹œ๊ฐํ™”

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ „์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ: Skewness ๋ณด์ •, Z-score normalization, ์ด์ƒ์น˜ ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ, ๊ฒฐ์ธก์น˜ ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ(๋ณ€์ˆ˜ ์ œ๊ฑฐ ๋ฐ ์ค‘์•™๊ฐ’ ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ, ๊ฒฐ์ธก๋ฅ  ์ƒ์œ„ 40๊ฐœ ๋ณ€์ˆ˜ cutoff ๊ธฐ์ค€)

์ด์ƒ์น˜ ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ ์ „ํ›„ ๋ฐ•์Šคํ”Œ๋กฏ ๋น„๊ต
์ด์ƒ์น˜ ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ ์ „/ํ›„ ๋น„๊ต
๊ฒฐ์ธก๋ฅ  ์ƒ์œ„ 40๊ฐœ ๋ณ€์ˆ˜์™€ 45% cutoff ๊ธฐ์ค€์„  ๋ง‰๋Œ€๊ทธ๋ž˜ํ”„
๊ฒฐ์ธก๋ฅ  ์ƒ์œ„ 40๊ฐœ ๋ณ€์ˆ˜ ๋ฐ cutoff ๊ธฐ์ค€

Step3. ๋ชจ๋ธ๋ง ๋ฐ ๋ถˆ๋Ÿ‰ ํƒ์ง€ ์„ฑ๋Šฅ ํ‰๊ฐ€

  • Random Forest: SMOTE Oversampling, Threshold tuning, ROC/PR ๊ณก์„  ๋ฐ ํ”ผ์ฒ˜ ์ค‘์š”๋„ ์‹œ๊ฐํ™”
๋žœ๋คํฌ๋ ˆ์ŠคํŠธ ๋ชจ๋ธ์˜ ROC ๊ณก์„ (AUC 0.7411), Precision-Recall ๊ณก์„ , Top 20 ํ”ผ์ฒ˜ ์ค‘์š”๋„
๋žœ๋คํฌ๋ ˆ์ŠคํŠธ โ€” ROCยทPR ๊ณก์„  ๋ฐ ํ”ผ์ฒ˜ ์ค‘์š”๋„
  • Logistic Regression: liblinear solver, StandardScaler, SMOTE Oversampling, Threshold tuning
๋กœ์ง€์Šคํ‹ฑ ํšŒ๊ท€ ๋ชจ๋ธ์˜ ROC ๊ณก์„ (AUC 0.6134), Precision-Recall ๊ณก์„ , Top 20 ํ”ผ์ฒ˜ ๊ณ„์ˆ˜
๋กœ์ง€์Šคํ‹ฑ ํšŒ๊ท€ โ€” ROCยทPR ๊ณก์„  ๋ฐ ํ”ผ์ฒ˜ ๊ณ„์ˆ˜

ํ‰๊ฐ€์ง€ํ‘œ ๋น„๊ต (Accuracy / Precision / Recall / F1-score / AUC)

์„ฑ๋Šฅ ํ‰๊ฐ€ ์ง€ํ‘œ Accuracy Precision Recall F1-score AUC score
๋žœ๋คํฌ๋ ˆ์ŠคํŠธ 0.7102 0.1354 0.6190 0.2222 0.7411
๋กœ์ง€์Šคํ‹ฑ ํšŒ๊ท€ 0.8503 0.1389 0.2381 0.1754 0.6134